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Dow Jones Industrial Average History

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By bear signal #03 on Feb 25, 2000, the Indicant enjoyed a performance advantage over buy and hold of 1,820.8%.

By bear signal #13 on Jun 22, 2001, that performance advantage fell to 1,515.1%. As you can see, each bear signal in the presidential election year was quickly followed by a bullish spurt. Those bear signals in 2000 and 2001 were triggered by the Dow falling below the trip line. Each of those trades resulted in small losses.

After reading this and thinking the Indicant may not be for you, click to see the benefits when each bearish spurt became more than that. Even though the Dow was more resistant to bearish ambition in the year 2000, you noticed the NASDAQ plummeted by over 80% following its bear signal #07. Remember, all major bears begin with a bearish spurt. Again, the Indicant continues researching for improved differentiations.

The Indicant's balance at the time of bear signal #13 was at $2,577,904. Buy and hold was at $1,589,655.


President Clinton's second term enjoyed a continuation of the stock market bull. As you can see, this period was a busy one. The buy and hold investor gained on the Indicant during this time due to several bull/bear signals that produced small losses. As previously stated, no model can beat buy and hold in a continuously forming stock market bull. The Indicant will avoid the bears, but when no bear exist, there is nothing to avoid. However, the Indicant joyfully participates in the bulls.

The stock market bull was disrupted late 1998 when Russia defaulted on loan payments. However, as usual, the stock market found a cyclical bottom in the mid-term election year after the Russian default induced bearish drop.

The market does not like any dishonest act against capitalists, most of which are promulgated and legislated by the United States Congress and the President. When those two are without philosophical differences, the stock market bear is significantly aroused.

The cycle is a continuation of the secular bull that was born in the early 1980's. The secular bull market perished in January 2000. The longest economic boom in history ended shortly thereafter.


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