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Dow Jones Industrial Average History

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Bear signal #07 on Nov 18, 1988 fell below the trip line for the third time that year. Although a bit frustrating, the rules must be followed at all times. There can be no exceptions as each dynamic bear typically begins with small steps. One should not attempt detecting the difference between a mild bear and a dynamic bear during these small steps. We have been attempting to detect such differences for over forty years and have not yet found other attributes to do so. We will keep trying, though.

You will also notice the Indicant did not signal bear until "after" the stock market crash of 1987. The old model did, but over the long-term the old model does not perform as well as the one you are looking at now.

The Indicant balance at bear signal #07 amounted to $6,887,274. When clicking the link in the previous sentence scroll up slightly to bear signal #03 on May 6, 1988. You will notice the Indicant balance was at $7,172,895.  As you can see, the Indicant lost some value from bear signal #03 and bear signal #07 during to the nervousness of the stock market bull in 1988.

Despite that, though, the Indicant remained well above the buy and hold value of $309,161 at the time of bear signal #07. That amounted to an Indicant performance advantage of 2,127.7%.


President Reagan's second term enjoyed four consecutive bullish conclusion to his final four years in office. This was the first time a president enjoyed all four bullish years with three of them as double digit gains since Calvin Coolidge's 1925-1929 term.

The DJIA Index moved incongruently to historical standards in the post election year of 1985, which uncharacteristically demonstrated bullish expressions. You can see bullish expressions in the mid-term election year that did not produce the classical cyclical bottom due to its profound bullish behavior. Even the stock market crash of 1987 did not prevent the normally bullish pre-election year from being bullish. Although it was shy in terms of bullish magnitude, it was a bull nonetheless. The election year of 1988 was classically bullish, albeit a nervous bull.

There was no recession in this presidential election cycle as entrepreneurialism re-gained popularity with tax breaks and declining influences of socialism.


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