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Dow Jones Industrial Average History

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The Indicant gained a bit on buy and hold at bear signal #02 on Apr 11, 1958. This is because it was able to avoid the stock market bear that correlated with the 1957 recession. The 1900 $10,000 investment in the stock market was at $1,193,643. The buy and holder was at $66,143 for their 1900-investment.

The Indicant lost a bit with a nervous stock market bear in the normally bullish presidential election year of 1960. By bear signal #06 on Apr 22, 1960, the Indicant's balance was at $1,569,990, but down slightly from bear signal #04 on Mar 4, 1960 at $1,599,998.

As you are seeing, the Mid-term Indicant is not always successful with each trading signal, as some bearish and bullish spurts are very short and the attributes lag a bit. However, all major stock market bulls and stock market bears are configured exactly the same as a short-term spurt during their early stages. The Mid-term Indicant identifies all bull/bear cycles and fulfills its purpose of avoiding the financial and psychological destruction that major bear cycles foment.

 

President Eisenhower enjoyed two strong stock market bulls on a year to year basis, with a classical stock market bear in the post election year of 1957.

As you can see, the market was a little slow in anticipating the 1957 recession, but make up for it quickly with a sharp drop of 20%+.

The presidential election year of 1960 was uncharacteristically bearish. It was induced by the 1960 recession and somewhat by a lame duck presidency. The first televised presidential debates occurred in 1960. John F. Kennedy looked better than his opponent, Richard Nixon. The recession, most likely occurred, as Kennedy's poll numbers improved with each debate despite his ignorance. This is the first time when physical appearance overruled the candidate's substance.

The stock market did not object to the first nuclear power plant and the first silicon chip. Analogizing with the steel worker's strike in the normally bullish presidential pre-election year, the stock market did not like concepts of communism - a collection of people who are assumed equal in every way - one of those tyranny by the majority sort of things. The market has no respect for people who force change through destructive practices, like the steel workers union. Hey, if you don't like your employer, go start you own company, like the great Walter P. Chrysler did when he left General Motors. Coercion by the masses is a straight lane to extinction. The market peaked with the steelworkers strike.

 

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