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Dow Jones Industrial Average History

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Bear signal #14 on Oct 17, 1941 endured a loss of 2.6% from its prior bull signal a few months earlier. The Indicant balance was $275,622 on that date. Buy and hold was at $17,861. The Indicant enjoyed a 1,443.2% advantage over buy and hold at that time. For a little over 40-years, the buy and hold investor from their $10,000 investment in 1900 had only a $7,861 gain from stock market investing. The Indicant was up over a quarter of a million dollars over the same time span.

 

The stock market bull correlated with World War II. FDR needed a war to hide the ineptness of his policies. FDR's post election year endured classical bearishness with a 15.4% drop, but the surge in the manufacturing of ordnance contributed to the stock market bull during this era..

Increased manufacturing during the war years heightened union memberships. That facilitated FDR's re-election in 1945. FDR, like any politician, will support unionism, since that offers a large block of votes. It does not matter if such support is correct or aligned with universal law. The only issue is to get the largest number of votes. Unionism's acceptance and popularity coincided with communism. That is when a group of folks concur that they, alone, cannot stand. In essence, it is a paradigm of a gathering of the weak.

Strong people, such as Walter P. Chrysler, who was a shop worker at GM, did not join the weak. He started his own company. That is what the strong do. The weak, through threats and coercion, generally wreak havoc. FDR supported the latter group, while few politicians would side with Walter P. Chrysler, since he and his staff were only a few votes. Such relational conditions with tyranny by the majority, slows economic progress. Getting the most votes is job one to the egomaniacs. FDR brought this decaying result to a new level.

Alfred P. Sloan of General Motors spent most of his time before and during the war arguing against FDR policies; one of which, was FDR's incessant support of labor unions. Politicians need votes and they tend to cater to and support large groups, despite margin compressions at the companies who employ unions. You pay the premiums for that relationship in the purchase of union made products, but most are incapable of recognizing that.

Notice that FDR's death did not impede the stock market bull. On the contrary, it enjoyed an unusual bullish surge in the post election year of 1945.

 

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