T.Roosevelt endured two bearish years of his four year term. When coupling
his three years of the McKinley term, his leadership contributed to four
bearish years out of the seven years he was president. The
pre-election year of 1907 was the most bearish on record (since 1832) as
his so-called progressive movement was economically damaging.
DJIA Index was incongruent with the U.S.
election cycle's historical standards of bearish behavior with a stock
market bull in the post election year of 1905. The stock market found a
cyclical bottom in the mid-term election year of 1906. That is common and
usually followed by two bullish years. Unfortunately, the depth of that
bearish spurt triggered a bear signal (#01) and quickly followed by a new
bull signal (#02), as the Dow crossed above the short-cycle blue curve
with supporting Force Vector behavior.
The pre-election year of 1907 was
uncharacteristically bearish and significantly so, dropping 37.7%. Interestingly,
signal #03 occurred with the Dow falling below the short-term blue curve,
the mid-term red curve, and the trip line at the same time. As you
can see, the Indicant avoided that stock market bear cycle.
Some may be annoyed with bear signal
#01, which was very closely configured with attributes at bear signal #03.
So, for those would allow that annoyance to carry forward and ignore
signal #03 would endure decline in holdings of over 40%. So, for those
looking for an absolute perfect model, please use another service. If you
find perfection, we will pay a finder's fee and discontinue doing all this
The first Trans-Atlantic wireless
transmission did not ignite a bullish response as the market anticipated
the recession that began in early 1907. You will notice a mild bullish
spurt concurrent to the Atlantic transmission, but the Dow never crossed
above the short-term blue curve with Force Vectors deep inside bearish
Even the greatest of inventions become
irrelevant with uninspiring economic activity during this era. Roosevelt's
"Square Deal" and increased regulations on businesses invigorated the
stock market bear. Roosevelt wanted the average citizen to get a fair
share. Again, social agenda is always tantalizing to the stock market
bear due to such nonsensical potential economic devastation..
As you can see, the stock market bull sensed
Roosevelt would not seek re-election. That inspired the stock market bull.
There is no evidence that the average citizen
gained from Roosevelt's "Square Deal." However, there is ample evidence
that Henry Ford's efforts created many more wealthy people for several
generations. The stock market bull was obviously aroused and propelled
northward in the normally post election year bearishness due to
capitalistic product offerings, such as Ford's low cost, highly effective,
automobile. Ford was real; Roosevelt was phony.