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S&P 600 - Small-cap Index Mid-term Indicant Performance Tables Since 1995

Scroll down to see performance and bull/bear signals and accessibility to historical charts.

This was updated on Jan 1, 2014 and will again be updated at the conclusion of the next presidential cycle in 2017.

Click this sentence to see current performance tables.

 

Two significant bear signals occurred since 1995 that contribute to disappointing results for this index. Bear signal #09 on Sep 21, 2001and bear signal #07 on Oct 3, 2008 were sharp drops. Attempting algorithmic modifications to prevent those disappointments would increase the number of signals and worsen performance levels of other indices. Research for perfections continue, as the mild model adjustment in 2012 did offer improvements with this particular index. Although smaller cap indices outperform the larger caps, they endure a bit more of an emotional component than the larger caps. The Indicant clearly demonstrates a troubled market, but the rules for signaling bear are strict. So, qualitatively, one would have already sold, for the most part, as the short-term model was already signaling bear for this index before those large drops in 2001 and 2008.

S&P600 Bull/Bear Cycles

Click Chart Years

Bull

Sig #

Bull Sig Date

Bull Sig Price

Bear

Sig #

Bear Sig Date

Bear Sig Price

Weeks Held

% Gain or Loss

Indicant Value

Buy/Hold Value

Indicant Performance Advantage

0

Start

N/A

08/25/95

118.17

N/A

08/25/95

118.17

N/A

0.0%

$10,000

$10,000

0.0%

1

1993-1997

#01

09/15/95

121.89

#02

10/13/95

116.92

4

-4.1%

$9,592

$9,894

-3.1%

2

1993-1997

#03

12/08/95

119.56

#04

01/12/96

119.49

5

-0.1%

$9,587

$10,112

-5.2%

3

1993-1997

#05

02/02/96

119.86

#06

04/18/97

136.22

63

13.6%

$10,895

$11,527

-5.5%

4

1997-2001

#07

05/09/97

143.42

#01

08/07/98

176.79

65

23.3%

$13,430

$14,961

-10.2%

5

1997-2001

#02

11/13/98

166.98

#03

02/19/99

162.82

14

-2.5%

$13,096

$13,778

-5.0%

6

1997-2001

#04

05/28/99

179.85

#05

08/13/99

177.25

11

-1.4%

$12,906

$15,000

-14.0%

7

1997-2001

#06

11/26/99

186.33

#07

04/13/01

197.5

72

6.0%

$13,680

$16,713

-18.1%

8

1997-2001

#08

04/20/01

206.88

#09

09/21/01

181.09

22

-12.5%

$11,975

$15,325

-21.9%

9

2001-2005

#10

11/30/01

217.61

#01

07/05/02

222.94

31

2.4%

$12,268

$18,866

-35.0%

10

2001-2005

#02

11/29/02

203.65

#03

01/17/03

197.02

7

-3.3%

$11,868

$16,673

-28.8%

11

2001-2005

#04

03/21/03

190.15

#01

07/14/06

355.53

173

87.0%

$22,191

$30,086

-26.2%

12

2005-2009

#02

08/18/06

368.46

#03

11/09/07

399.92

64

8.5%

$24,086

$33,843

-28.8%

13

2005-2009

#04

04/04/08

378.12

#05

06/27/08

368.56

12

-2.5%

$23,477

$31,189

-24.7%

14

2005-2009

#06

07/18/08

363.49

#07

10/03/08

331.47

11

-8.8%

$21,409

$28,050

-23.7%

15

2009-2013

#08

04/03/09

240.97

#01

08/05/11

389.89

122

61.8%

$34,639

$32,994

5.0%

16

2009-2013

#02

10/28/11

418.56

#03

06/01/12

414.95

31

-0.9%

$34,340

$35,115

-2.2%

18

2009-2013

#04

06/22/12

431.27

TBD

12/27/13

665.07

79

54.2%

$52,957

$56,281

-5.9%

 

 

 

 

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