Mid-term Indicant MTIRYS Home Page S&P100 Tour Since 1982

This index, along with the S&P600 index, has been problematic for the Indicant. The Indicant's $10,000 investment in 1982 grew to $154,138, while buy and hold is a bit higher at $157,117 as of the end of 2013. This and the S&P600, which are the two extremes among major indices, as the large caps and small caps. Buy and hold has a 1.7% advantage over the Indicant. However, the Indicant held a 25.9% advantage in 2008 as it avoided the 2007-2008 stock market bear. The model was adjusted slightly in 2012. Bear signal #07 would not have occurred with that slight adjustment. With that, the Indicant would gain a mild performance advantage over buy and hold for this index. However, even with modeling improvements, the Indicant does not change its historical records. It simply continues to improve. With the exception of the S&P600, all other indices maintain a significant advantage over buy and hold.

S&P100 Bull/Bear Cycles	Click Chart Years	Bull Sig #	Bull Sig Date	Bull Sig Price	Bear Sig #	Bear Sig Date	Bear Sig Price	Weeks Held	% Gain or Loss	Indicant Value	Buy/Hold Value	Indicant Performance Advantage
0	Start	N/A	08/06/82	52.27	N/A	08/06/82	52.27	N/A		$10,000	$10,000	0.0%
1	1981-1985	#01	08/13/82	52.46	#02	02/17/84	76.59	79	46.0%	$14,599	$14,652	-0.4%
2	1981-1985	#03	08/03/84	80.95	#04	12/07/84	79.45	18	-1.9%	$14,327	$15,199	-5.7%
3	1981-1985	#05	01/11/85	82.99	#01	10/23/87	121.89	145	46.9%	$21,043	$23,318	-9.8%
4	1985-1989	#02	01/15/88	122.32	#01	02/23/90	152.20	110	24.4%	$26,185	$29,118	-10.1%
5	1989-1993	#02	03/02/90	157.83	#03	08/24/90	148.34	25	-6.0%	$24,610	$28,380	-13.3%
6	1989-1993	#04	11/16/90	151.23	#05	01/11/91	148.24	8	-2.0%	$24,123	$28,359	-14.9%
7	1989-1993	#06	01/18/91	157.50	#07	10/09/92	184.29	90	17.0%	$28,226	$35,256	-19.9%
8	1989-1993	#08	10/23/92	189.59	#01	04/01/94	206.17	75	8.7%	$30,695	$39,442	-22.2%
9	1993-1997	#02	05/20/94	211.73	#03	06/24/94	204.97	5	-3.2%	$29,715	$39,213	-24.2%
10	1993-1997	#04	07/29/94	212.56	#05	10/07/94	210.78	10	-0.8%	$29,467	$40,325	-26.9%
11	1993-1997	#06	10/14/94	217.38	#07	11/25/94	210.74	6	-3.1%	$28,566	$40,317	-29.1%
12	1993-1997	#08	01/27/95	217.91	#01	10/13/00	729.01	298	234.5%	$95,566	$139,470	-31.5%
13	1997-2001	#02	10/26/01	567.98	#01	02/08/02	557.28	15	-1.9%	$93,766	$106,616	-12.1%
14	2001-2005	#02	11/01/02	458.16	#03	12/27/02	443.04	8	-3.3%	$90,672	$84,760	7.0%
15	2001-2005	#04	01/10/03	470.41	#05	01/31/03	432.57	3	-8.0%	$83,378	$82,757	0.8%
16	2001-2005	#06	05/16/03	475.72	#07	08/06/04	521.83	64	9.7%	$91,460	$99,834	-8.4%
17	2001-2005	#08	08/20/04	536.04	#09	10/08/04	538.47	7	0.5%	$91,874	$103,017	-10.8%
18	2001-2005	#10	11/05/04	557.89	#11	04/22/05	551.40	24	-1.2%	$90,805	$105,491	-13.9%
19	2001-2005	#12	05/06/05	558.20	#13	10/07/05	552.92	22	-0.9%	$89,946	$105,782	-15.0%
20	2001-2005	#14	11/04/05	561.97	#01	06/09/06	572.75	31	1.9%	$91,672	$109,575	-16.3%
21	2005-2009	#02	07/28/06	590.20	#03	01/04/08	660.73	75	12.0%	$102,627	$126,407	-18.8%
22	2005-2009	#04	04/18/08	640.60	#05	05/30/08	639.14	6	-0.2%	$102,393	$122,277	-16.3%
23	2005-2009	#06	08/08/08	601.05	#07	09/12/08	577.71	5	-3.9%	$98,417	$110,524	-11.0%
24	2005-2009	#08	05/01/09	408.48	#01	06/04/10	483.42	57	18.3%	$116,472	$92,485	25.9%
25	2009-2013	#02	09/24/10	519.34	#03	06/24/11	563.62	39	8.5%	$126,403	$107,829	17.2%
26	2009-2013	#04	07/01/11	595.25	#05	08/05/11	542.48	5	-8.9%	$115,197	$103,784	11.0%
27	2009-2013	#06	10/21/11	558.47	#07	11/25/11	522.28	5	-6.5%	$107,732	$99,920	7.8%
28	2009-2013	#08	12/23/11	574.00	#01	08/21/15	864.77	191	50.7%	$162,306	$165,443	-1.9%
29	2013-2017	#02	10/09/15	890.85	#03	01/08/16	855.58	13	-4.0%	$155,880	$163,685	-4.8%
30	2013-2017	#04	02/19/16	857.25	TBD	01/05/18	1215.56	98	41.8%	$221,034	$232,554	-5.0%