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S&P 100 - Large-cap Index Mid-term Indicant Performance Tables Since 1982

(the weakest of all major indices)

Scroll down to see performance and bull/bear signals and accessibility to historical charts.

This was updated on Jan 1, 2014 and will again be updated at the conclusion of the next presidential cycle in 2017.

Click this sentence to see current performance tables.

 

       This index, along with the S&P600 index, has been problematic for the Indicant. The Indicant's $10,000 investment in 1982 grew to $154,138, while buy and hold is a bit higher at $157,117 as of the end of 2013. This and the S&P600, which are the two extremes among major indices, as the large caps and small caps. Buy and hold has a 1.7% advantage over the Indicant. However, the Indicant held a 25.9% advantage in 2008 as it avoided the 2007-2008 stock market bear. The model was adjusted slightly in 2012. Bear signal #07 would not have occurred with that slight adjustment. With that, the Indicant would gain a mild performance advantage over buy and hold for this index. However, even with modeling improvements, the Indicant does not change its historical records. It simply continues to improve. With the exception of the S&P600, all other indices maintain a significant advantage over buy and hold.

S&P100 Bull/Bear Cycles Click Chart Years Bull Sig # Bull Sig Date Bull Sig Price Bear Sig # Bear Sig Date Bear Sig Price Weeks Held % Gain or Loss Indicant Value Buy/Hold Value Indicant Performance Advantage
0 Start N/A 08/06/82 52.27 N/A 08/06/82 52.27 N/A   $10,000 $10,000 0.0%
1 1981-1985 #01 08/13/82 52.46 #02 02/17/84 76.59 79 46.0% $14,599 $14,652 -0.4%
2 1981-1985 #03 08/03/84 80.95 #04 12/07/84 79.45 18 -1.9% $14,327 $15,199 -5.7%
3 1981-1985 #05 01/11/85 82.99 #01 10/23/87 121.89 145 46.9% $21,043 $23,318 -9.8%
4 1985-1989 #02 01/15/88 122.32 #01 02/23/90 152.20 110 24.4% $26,185 $29,118 -10.1%
5 1989-1993 #02 03/02/90 157.83 #03 08/24/90 148.34 25 -6.0% $24,610 $28,380 -13.3%
6 1989-1993 #04 11/16/90 151.23 #05 01/11/91 148.24 8 -2.0% $24,123 $28,359 -14.9%
7 1989-1993 #06 01/18/91 157.50 #07 10/09/92 184.29 90 17.0% $28,226 $35,256 -19.9%
8 1989-1993 #08 10/23/92 189.59 #01 04/01/94 206.17 75 8.7% $30,695 $39,442 -22.2%
9 1993-1997 #02 05/20/94 211.73 #03 06/24/94 204.97 5 -3.2% $29,715 $39,213 -24.2%
10 1993-1997 #04 07/29/94 212.56 #05 10/07/94 210.78 10 -0.8% $29,467 $40,325 -26.9%
11 1993-1997 #06 10/14/94 217.38 #07 11/25/94 210.74 6 -3.1% $28,566 $40,317 -29.1%
12 1993-1997 #08 01/27/95 217.91 #01 10/13/00 729.01 298 234.5% $95,566 $139,470 -31.5%
13 1997-2001 #02 10/26/01 567.98 #01 02/08/02 557.28 15 -1.9% $93,766 $106,616 -12.1%
14 2001-2005 #02 11/01/02 458.16 #03 12/27/02 443.04 8 -3.3% $90,672 $84,760 7.0%
15 2001-2005 #04 01/10/03 470.41 #05 01/31/03 432.57 3 -8.0% $83,378 $82,757 0.8%
16 2001-2005 #06 05/16/03 475.72 #07 08/06/04 521.83 64 9.7% $91,460 $99,834 -8.4%
17 2001-2005 #08 08/20/04 536.04 #09 10/08/04 538.47 7 0.5% $91,874 $103,017 -10.8%
18 2001-2005 #10 11/05/04 557.89 #11 04/22/05 551.40 24 -1.2% $90,805 $105,491 -13.9%
19 2001-2005 #12 05/06/05 558.20 #13 10/07/05 552.92 22 -0.9% $89,946 $105,782 -15.0%
20 2001-2005 #14 11/04/05 561.97 #01 06/09/06 572.75 31 1.9% $91,672 $109,575 -16.3%
21 2005-2009 #02 07/28/06 590.20 #03 01/04/08 660.73 75 12.0% $102,627 $126,407 -18.8%
22 2005-2009 #04 04/18/08 640.60 #05 05/30/08 639.14 6 -0.2% $102,393 $122,277 -16.3%
23 2005-2009 #06 08/08/08 601.05 #07 09/12/08 577.71 5 -3.9% $98,417 $110,524 -11.0%
24 2005-2009 #08 05/01/09 408.48 #01 06/04/10 483.42 57 18.3% $116,472 $92,485 25.9%
25 2009-2013 #02 09/24/10 519.34 #03 06/24/11 563.62 39 8.5% $126,403 $107,829 17.2%
26 2009-2013 #04 07/01/11 595.25 #05 08/05/11 542.48 5 -8.9% $115,197 $103,784 11.0%
27 2009-2013 #06 10/21/11 558.47 #07 11/25/11 522.28 5 -6.5% $107,732 $99,920 7.8%
28 2009-2013 #08 12/23/11 574.00 TBD 12/27/13 821.25 105 43.1% $154,138 $157,117 -1.9%

 

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