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NASDAQ Index Mid-term Indicant Performance Tables Since 1971

Scroll down to see performance and bull/bear signals and accessibility to historical charts.

This was updated on Jan 1, 2014 and will again be updated at the conclusion of the next presidential cycle in 2017.

Click this sentence to see current performance tables.

 

The 1971 $10,000 buy and hold investment in the NASDAQ grew to $415,659, while the Indicant grew to $1,192,030 by the end of 2013. This amounts to a 186.8% Indicant performance advantage. This advantage can primarily be attributed to the Indicant's avoiding the 2001-2002 and 2007 and 2008 stock market bears. The 2001-2002 NASDAQ stock market bear approximated the same depth as the 1929-1932 stock market bear. The Indicant tends to lose some of its advantage during stock market bulls due to periodic trade signals that are quickly reversed. But every now and then, those trade signals save you a lot of money, as the stock market bear never announces the depths of its intentions.

NASDAQ Bull/Bear Cycles

Click Chart Years

Bull Sig #

Bull Sig Date

Bull Sig Price

Bear Sig #

Bear Sig Date

Bear Sig Price

Weeks Held

% Gain or Loss

Indicant Value

Buy/Hold Value

Indicant Performance Advantage

0

Start

N/A

01/29/71

100.00

N/A

01/29/71

100.00

N/A

 

$10,000

$10,000

0.0%

1

1969-1973

#01

01/29/71

100.00

#02

02/05/71

100.00

1

0.0%

$10,000

$10,000

0.0%

2

1969-1973

#03

02/12/71

102.05

#04

11/19/71

102.95

40

0.9%

$10,088

$10,295

-2.0%

3

1969-1973

#05

12/03/71

107.26

#06

02/16/73

124.55

63

16.1%

$11,714

$12,455

-5.9%

4

1969-1973

#07

07/27/73

109.36

#08

08/03/73

106.82

1

-2.3%

$11,442

$10,682

7.1%

5

1973-1977

#09

09/07/73

107.02

#10

11/09/73

105.77

9

-1.2%

$11,309

$10,577

6.9%

6

1973-1977

#01

03/01/74

94.05

#02

04/12/74

89.79

6

-4.5%

$10,796

$8,979

20.2%

7

1973-1977

#03

01/03/75

61.23

#04

09/12/75

74.72

36

22.0%

$13,175

$7,472

76.3%

8

1973-1977

#05

12/19/75

75.92

#01

03/28/80

129.25

223

70.2%

$22,430

$12,925

73.5%

9

1977-1981

#02

05/09/80

143.06

#03

09/04/81

189.63

69

32.6%

$29,731

$18,963

56.8%

10

1977-1981

#04

11/06/81

199.97

#05

12/18/81

197.01

6

-1.5%

$29,291

$19,701

48.7%

11

1981-1985

#01

04/16/82

182.25

#02

06/04/82

174.82

7

-4.1%

$28,097

$17,482

60.7%

12

1981-1985

#03

08/27/82

177.60

#04

01/27/84

273.18

74

53.8%

$43,218

$27,318

58.2%

13

1981-1985

#05

08/03/84

246.24

#06

10/12/84

246.20

10

0.0%

$43,211

$24,620

75.5%

14

1981-1985

#07

01/11/85

252.20

#08

09/27/85

280.20

37

11.1%

$48,009

$28,020

71.3%

15

1981-1985

#09

10/18/85

288.40

#01

10/23/87

328.50

105

13.9%

$54,684

$32,850

66.5%

16

1985-1989

#02

02/19/88

357.10

#03

11/18/88

367.60

39

2.9%

$56,292

$36,760

53.1%

17

1985-1989

#04

12/02/88

373.90

#01

01/26/90

421.30

60

12.7%

$63,428

$42,130

50.6%

18

1989-1993

#02

03/16/90

442.20

#03

04/13/90

436.30

4

-1.3%

$62,582

$43,630

43.4%

19

1989-1993

#04

05/04/90

428.60

#05

08/03/90

417.50

13

-2.6%

$60,961

$41,750

46.0%

20

1989-1993

#06

12/07/90

371.50

#07

12/28/90

371.20

3

-0.1%

$60,912

$37,120

64.1%

21

1989-1993

#08

01/18/91

377.00

#09

06/26/92

547.84

75

45.3%

$88,515

$54,784

61.6%

22

1989-1993

#10

07/03/92

563.35

#01

04/22/94

722.56

94

28.3%

$113,530

$72,256

57.1%

23

1993-1997

#02

04/29/94

733.84

#03

05/13/94

716.92

2

-2.3%

$110,912

$71,692

54.7%

24

1993-1997

#04

05/27/94

733.14

#05

06/10/94

734.25

2

0.2%

$111,080

$73,425

51.3%

25

1993-1997

#06

08/12/94

731.61

#07

11/25/94

742.52

15

1.5%

$112,737

$74,252

51.8%

26

1993-1997

#08

12/09/94

719.05

#01

08/28/98

1639.68

194

128.0%

$257,079

$163,968

56.8%

27

1997-2001

#02

09/25/98

1743.59

#03

10/02/98

1614.98

1

-7.4%

$238,116

$161,498

47.4%

28

1997-2001

#04

10/23/98

1693.86

#05

05/26/00

3205.00

83

89.2%

$450,546

$320,500

40.6%

29

1997-2001

#06

06/02/00

3813.00

#07

09/29/00

3672.82

17

-3.7%

$433,982

$367,282

18.2%

30

1997-2001

#08

10/26/01

1768.96

#01

02/22/02

1724.54

17

-2.5%

$423,085

$172,454

145.3%

31

2001-2005

#02

11/01/02

1360.70

#03

02/07/03

1282.47

14

-5.7%

$398,760

$128,247

210.9%

32

2001-2005

#04

05/02/03

1502.88

#05

07/16/04

1883.15

63

25.3%

$499,658

$188,315

165.3%

33

2001-2005

#06

09/10/04

1894.31

#07

04/15/05

1908.15

31

0.7%

$503,308

$190,815

163.8%

34

2001-2005

#08

05/06/05

1967.35

#01

06/09/06

2135.06

57

8.5%

$546,214

$213,506

155.8%

35

2005-2009

#02

08/18/06

2163.95

#03

01/04/08

2504.65

72

15.7%

$632,212

$250,465

152.4%

36

2005-2009

#04

04/18/08

2402.97

#05

06/27/08

2315.63

10

-3.6%

$609,233

$231,563

163.1%

37

2005-2009

#06

08/08/08

2414.10

#07

09/12/08

2261.27

5

-6.3%

$570,664

$226,127

152.4%

38

2005-2009

#08

03/27/09

1545.20

#01

07/02/10

2091.79

66

35.4%

$772,527

$209,179

269.3%

39

2009-2013

#02

09/17/10

2315.61

#03

08/05/11

2532.41

46

9.4%

$844,856

$253,241

233.6%

40

2009-2013

#04

10/21/11

2637.46

#05

11/25/11

2441.51

5

-7.4%

$782,087

$244,151

220.3%

41

2009-2013

#06

12/23/11

2618.64

#07

11/16/12

2853.13

47

9.0%

$852,120

$285,313

198.7%

42

2009-2013

#08

12/14/12

2971.33

TBD

12/27/13

4156.59

54

39.9%

$1,192,030

$415,659

186.8%

 

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