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DJIA Mid-term Indicant Performance Tables Since 1900

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Scroll down to see performance and bull/bear signals and accessibility to historical charts.

This was updated on Jan 1, 2014 and will again be updated at the conclusion of the next presidential cycle in 2017.

Click this sentence to see current performance tables.

 

$10,000 invested since January 6, 1900 in the DJIA, using the the Mid-term Indicant, has a balance of $47,432,356 as of the last trade signal in 2013 (the last trade was actually in 2012, as 2013 was too bullish to trigger a bear signal). This excludes considerations for dividends, commissions, and taxes. The buy and hold balance pales in comparison at $1,240,156. That is a 1,820.2% Indicant performance advantage over buy and hold.

 

This will be updated at the conclusion of the next presidential post election year in 2017. Scroll down to see each trade signal. To see related charts, click dated links column on the left hand side of the table below to view related charts.

 

DJIA Bull/Bear Cycles Click Chart Years

Bull

Sig #

Bull Sig Date Bull Sig Price Bear Sig # Bear Sig Date Bear Sig Price Weeks Held % Gain or Loss Indicant Value Buy/Hold Value Indicant Performance Advantage
0 1900 N/A 01/06/00 66.71 N/A 01/06/00 66.71 N/A   $10,000 $10,000 0.0%
1 1900 N/A 03/30/00 65.39   04/27/00 62.25 4 -4.8% $9,520 $9,331 2.0%
2 1900 N/A 07/27/00 58.03   09/21/00 54.37 8 -6.3% $8,919 $8,150 9.4%
3 1900 N/A 10/19/00 58.73 #01 09/13/01 67.25 47 14.5% $10,213 $10,081 1.3%
4 1901-1905 #02 01/24/02 64.13 #03 06/27/02 63.73 22 -0.6% $10,150 $9,553 6.2%
5 1901-1905 #04 07/04/02 64.89 #05 10/10/02 64.76 14 -0.2% $10,129 $9,708 4.3%
6 1901-1905 #06 01/02/03 64.60 #07 03/13/03 64.11 10 -0.8% $10,052 $9,610 4.6%
7 1901-1905 #08 01/01/04 49.11 #09 05/20/04 47.53 20 -3.2% $9,729 $7,125 36.6%
8 1901-1905 #10 06/17/04 48.73 #01 07/13/06 85.18 108 74.8% $17,006 $12,769 33.2%
9 1905-1909 #02 07/27/06 91.41 #03 02/01/07 90.59 27 -0.9% $16,854 $13,580 24.1%
10 1905-1909 #04 01/10/08 63.01 #01 01/28/10 91.91 107 45.9% $24,584 $13,778 78.4%
11 1909-1913 #02 10/07/10 81.48 #03 12/09/10 81.00 9 -0.6% $24,439 $12,142 101.3%
12 1909-1913 #04 02/03/11 85.60 #05 03/10/11 82.54 5 -3.6% $23,565 $12,373 90.5%
13 1909-1913 #06 05/19/11 85.78 #07 08/04/11 82.95 11 -3.3% $22,788 $12,434 83.3%
14 1909-1913 #08 11/10/11 81.01 #09 12/06/12 87.80 56 8.4% $24,698 $13,161 87.7%
15 1909-1913 #10 07/25/13 78.36 #11 10/17/13 77.37 12 -1.3% $24,386 $11,598 110.3%
16 1909-1913 #12 12/19/13 76.71 #01 07/31/14 71.42 32 -6.9% $22,704 $10,706 112.1%
17 1913-1917 #02 03/26/15 59.51 #03 07/14/16 86.95 68 46.1% $33,173 $13,034 154.5%
18 1913-1917 #04 08/11/16 90.32 #05 02/02/17 87.01 25 -3.7% $31,958 $13,043 145.0%
19 1913-1917 #06 06/01/17 97.89 #07 07/06/17 93.90 5 -4.1% $30,655 $14,076 117.8%
20 1917-1921 #01 01/25/18 76.50 #02 02/06/20 95.75 106 25.2% $38,369 $14,353 167.3%
21 1917-1921 #03 03/19/20 103.66 #04 04/30/20 93.54 6 -9.8% $34,623 $14,022 146.9%
22 1917-1921 #05 03/18/21 76.30 #06 06/03/21 72.37 11 -5.2% $32,840 $10,848 202.7%
23 1917-1921 #07 09/09/21 70.58 #01 05/04/23 96.60 86 36.9% $44,946 $14,481 210.4%
24 1921-1925 #02 08/31/23 93.46 #03 09/28/23 87.97 4 -5.9% $42,306 $13,187 220.8%
25 1921-1925 #04 11/09/23 91.14 #05 03/21/24 95.87 19 5.2% $44,502 $14,371 209.7%
26 1921-1925 #06 06/13/24 92.68 #01 04/16/26 136.27 96 47.0% $65,432 $20,427 220.3%
27 1925-1929 #02 05/28/26 143.43 #03 11/01/29 273.51 179 90.7% $124,774 $41,000 204.3%
28 1929-1933 #01 03/07/30 275.57 #02 05/09/30 267.29 9 -3.0% $121,025 $40,067 202.1%
29 1929-1933 #03 08/29/30 240.42 #04 09/26/30 213.27 4 -11.3% $107,358 $31,970 235.8%
30 1929-1933 #05 02/20/31 188.22 #06 04/10/31 168.72 7 -10.4% $96,235 $25,292 280.5%
31 1929-1933 #07 07/29/32 53.89 #01 05/11/34 93.18 93 72.9% $166,398 $13,968 1091.3%
32 1933-1937 #02 09/28/34 92.49 #03 06/18/37 168.79 142 82.5% $303,669 $25,302 1100.2%
33 1933-1937 #04 07/02/37 172.22 #05 09/03/37 172.17 9 0.0% $303,581 $25,809 1076.3%
34 1937-1941 #01 02/25/38 131.58 #02 03/11/38 122.44 2 -6.9% $282,493 $18,354 1439.1%
35 1937-1941 #03 06/10/38 114.47 #04 04/07/39 126.32 43 10.4% $311,737 $18,936 1546.3%
36 1937-1941 #05 05/26/39 136.09 #06 07/07/39 133.22 6 -2.1% $305,163 $19,970 1428.1%
37 1937-1941 #07 07/21/39 143.46 #08 08/18/39 135.54 4 -5.5% $288,315 $20,318 1319.0%
38 1937-1941 #09 09/08/39 150.04 #10 11/24/39 148.47 11 -1.0% $285,299 $22,256 1181.9%
39 1937-1941 #11 08/23/40 125.34 #12 02/07/41 124.30 24 -0.8% $282,931 $18,633 1418.5%
40 1937-1941 #13 06/13/41 122.31 #14 10/17/41 119.15 18 -2.6% $275,622 $17,861 1443.2%
41 1941-1945 #01 05/29/42 100.88 #02 11/12/43 132.15 76 31.0% $361,057 $19,810 1722.6%
42 1941-1945 #03 12/10/43 135.04 #01 09/06/46 179.96 143 33.3% $481,159 $26,976 1683.6%
43 1945-1949 #02 12/20/46 177.85 #03 03/14/47 172.58 12 -3.0% $466,902 $25,870 1704.8%
44 1945-1949 #04 05/30/47 169.25 #05 01/23/48 171.97 34 1.6% $474,405 $25,779 1740.3%
45 1945-1949 #06 03/26/48 174.05 #07 11/12/48 173.93 33 -0.1% $474,078 $26,073 1718.3%
46 1945-1949 #08 01/07/49 181.31 #09 01/28/49 178.82 3 -1.4% $467,567 $26,806 1644.3%
47 1945-1949 #10 03/11/49 176.52 #11 03/25/49 175.83 2 -0.4% $465,740 $26,357 1667.0%
48 1945-1949 #12 07/08/49 170.92 #01 04/17/53 274.41 197 60.5% $747,739 $41,135 1717.8%
50 1949-1953 #02 07/31/53 275.38 #03 08/28/53 265.74 4 -3.5% $721,564 $39,835 1711.4%
51 1949-1953 #04 10/16/53 272.80 #01 11/23/56 472.56 162 73.2% $1,249,935 $70,838 1664.5%
52 1953-1957 #02 12/07/56 494.79 #03 01/18/57 477.46 6 -3.5% $1,206,156 $71,572 1585.2%
53 1953-1957 #04 04/05/57 477.61 #05 08/23/57 475.74 20 -0.4% $1,201,434 $71,315 1584.7%
54 1957-1961 #01 01/17/58 444.12 #02 04/11/58 441.24 12 -0.6% $1,193,643 $66,143 1704.6%
55 1957-1961 #03 04/25/58 454.92 #04 03/04/60 609.79 97 34.0% $1,599,998 $91,409 1650.4%
56 1957-1961 #05 04/08/60 628.10 #06 04/22/60 616.32 2 -1.9% $1,569,990 $92,388 1599.3%
57 1957-1961 #07 05/13/60 616.03 #08 07/22/60 609.87 10 -1.0% $1,554,291 $91,421 1600.1%
58 1957-1961 #09 11/11/60 608.61 #01 04/13/62 687.90 74 13.0% $1,756,785 $103,118 1603.7%
59 1961-1965 #02 08/24/62 613.74 #03 09/28/62 578.98 5 -5.7% $1,657,287 $86,791 1809.5%
60 1961-1965 #04 11/09/62 616.13 #01 05/06/66 902.83 182 46.5% $2,428,463 $135,337 1694.4%
61 1965-1969 #02 01/13/67 835.13 #03 11/03/67 856.62 42 2.6% $2,490,953 $128,410 1839.9%
62 1965-1969 #04 12/29/67 905.11 #05 01/26/68 865.06 4 -4.4% $2,380,731 $129,675 1735.9%
63 1965-1969 #06 04/05/68 865.81 #07 02/28/69 905.21 47 4.6% $2,489,070 $135,693 1734.3%
64 1965-1969 #08 03/21/69 920.00 #09 06/13/69 894.84 12 -2.7% $2,421,000 $134,139 1704.8%
65 1965-1969 #10 10/24/69 862.26 #11 11/21/69 823.13 4 -4.5% $2,311,133 $123,389 1773.0%
66 1969-1973 #01 03/27/70 791.05 #02 04/24/70 747.29 4 -5.5% $2,183,284 $112,021 1849.0%
67 1969-1973 #03 07/17/70 735.08 #04 07/30/71 858.43 54 16.8% $2,549,649 $128,681 1881.4%
68 1969-1973 #05 08/20/71 880.91 #06 10/15/71 874.58 8 -0.7% $2,531,328 $131,102 1830.8%
69 1969-1973 #07 12/03/71 859.59 #08 03/23/73 922.71 68 7.3% $2,717,204 $138,317 1864.5%
70 1969-1973 #09 07/27/73 936.71 #10 08/10/73 892.38 2 -4.7% $2,588,612 $133,770 1835.1%
71 1969-1973 #11 09/21/73 927.90 #12 11/09/73 908.41 7 -2.1% $2,534,240 $136,173 1761.0%
72 1973-1977 #01 02/22/74 855.99 #02 04/12/74 844.81 7 -1.3% $2,501,140 $126,639 1875.0%
73 1973-1977 #03 01/10/75 658.79 #04 10/15/76 937.00 92 42.2% $3,557,383 $140,459 2432.7%
74 1973-1977 #05 12/10/76 973.15 #06 01/28/77 957.53 7 -1.6% $3,500,284 $143,536 2338.6%
75 1977-1981 #01 04/14/78 795.13 #02 11/10/78 807.09 30 1.5% $3,552,933 $120,985 2836.7%
76 1977-1981 #03 03/23/79 859.75 #04 05/04/79 847.54 6 -1.4% $3,502,475 $127,048 2656.8%
77 1977-1981 #05 08/17/79 883.36 #06 10/12/79 838.99 8 -5.0% $3,326,551 $125,767 2545.0%
78 1977-1981 #07 12/07/79 833.19 #08 03/07/80 820.56 13 -1.5% $3,276,125 $123,004 2563.4%
79 1977-1981 #09 05/23/80 854.10 #10 07/24/81 936.74 61 9.7% $3,593,112 $140,420 2458.8%
80 1977-1981 #11 11/27/81 885.94 #01 01/15/82 847.60 7 -4.3% $3,437,616 $127,057 2605.6%
81 1981-1985 #02 04/02/82 838.57 #03 05/21/82 835.90 7 -0.3% $3,426,671 $125,304 2634.7%
82 1981-1985 #04 07/09/82 814.12 #05 07/30/82 808.60 3 -0.7% $3,403,437 $121,211 2707.9%
83 1981-1985 #06 08/20/82 869.29 #07 02/17/84 1148.87 78 32.2% $4,498,047 $172,219 2511.8%
84 1981-1985 #08 08/03/84 1202.08 #09 10/05/84 1182.53 9 -1.6% $4,424,893 $177,264 2396.2%
85 1981-1985 #10 01/11/85 1218.09 #01 10/23/87 1950.76 145 60.1% $7,086,425 $292,424 2323.3%
86 1985-1989 #02 02/12/88 1983.26 #03 05/06/88 2007.46 12 1.2% $7,172,895 $300,923 2283.6%
87 1985-1989 #04 06/03/88 2071.30 #05 08/12/88 2037.52 10 -1.6% $7,055,915 $305,429 2210.2%
88 1985-1989 #06 09/30/88 2112.91 #07 11/18/88 2062.41 7 -2.4% $6,887,274 $309,161 2127.7%
89 1985-1989 #08 12/23/88 2168.93 #01 08/17/90 2644.80 86 21.9% $8,398,363 $396,462 2018.3%
90 1989-1993 #02 11/16/90 2550.25 #03 11/29/91 2894.68 54 13.5% $9,532,623 $433,920 2096.9%
91 1989-1993 #04 12/20/91 2934.48 #05 10/09/92 3136.58 42 6.9% $10,189,153 $470,182 2067.1%
92 1989-1993 #06 11/13/92 3233.03 #01 06/24/94 3636.94 84 12.5% $11,462,104 $545,187 2002.4%
93 1993-1997 #02 07/08/94 3709.13 #03 11/25/94 3708.27 20 0.0% $11,459,431 $555,879 1961.5%
94 1993-1997 #04 12/16/94 3807.18 #01 08/28/98 8051.68 193 111.5% $24,235,138 $1,206,967 1907.9%
95 1997-2001 #02 10/16/98 8416.76 #03 02/25/00 9862.12 71 17.2% $28,396,901 $1,478,357 1820.8%
96 1997-2001 #04 03/17/00 10595.24 #05 04/14/00 10305.78 4 -2.7% $27,621,095 $1,544,862 1687.9%
97 1997-2001 #06 07/14/00 10812.75 #07 09/29/00 10650.92 11 -1.5% $27,207,714 $1,596,601 1604.1%
98 1997-2001 #08 10/27/00 10590.62 #09 12/01/00 10373.54 5 -2.0% $26,650,009 $1,555,020 1613.8%
99 1997-2001 #10 02/02/01 10864.10 #11 02/23/01 10441.90 3 -3.9% $25,614,332 $1,565,267 1536.4%
100 1997-2001 #12 04/20/01 10579.85 #13 06/22/01 10604.59 9 0.2% $25,674,218 $1,589,655 1515.1%
101 1997-2001 #14 11/16/01 9866.99 #01 02/01/02 9907.26 11 0.4% $25,779,004 $1,485,124 1635.8%
102 2001-2005 #02 03/01/02 10368.86 #03 04/12/02 10190.82 6 -1.7% $25,336,372 $1,527,630 1558.5%
103 2001-2005 #04 11/01/02 8517.64 #05 12/27/02 8303.78 8 -2.5% $24,700,232 $1,244,759 1884.3%
104 2001-2005 #06 03/21/03 8521.97 #07 08/06/04 9815.33 72 15.2% $28,448,946 $1,471,343 1833.5%
105 2001-2005 #08 08/20/04 10110.14 #09 09/24/04 10047.24 5 -0.6% $28,271,951 $1,506,107 1777.2%
106 2001-2005 #10 10/29/04 10027.47 #11 04/15/05 10087.51 24 0.6% $28,441,231 $1,512,144 1780.9%
107 2001-2005 #12 05/20/05 10471.91 #01 07/14/06 10739.35 60 2.6% $29,167,586 $1,609,856 1711.8%
108 2005-2009 #02 07/28/06 11219.70 #03 01/04/08 12800.18 75 14.1% $33,276,322 $1,918,780 1634.2%
109 2005-2009 #04 04/04/08 12609.42 #05 05/30/08 12638.32 8 0.2% $33,352,589 $1,894,517 1660.5%
110 2005-2009 #06 05/08/09 8574.65 #07 07/10/09 8146.52 9 -5.0% $31,687,303 $1,221,184 2494.8%
111 2005-2009 #08 07/17/09 8743.94 #01 07/02/10 9686.48 50 10.8% $35,102,989 $1,452,028 2317.5%
112 2009-2013 #02 07/09/10 10198.03 #03 08/27/10 10150.65 7 -0.5% $34,939,900 $1,521,608 2196.2%
113 2009-2013 #04 09/17/10 10607.85 #05 08/05/11 11444.61 46 7.9% $37,696,002 $1,715,576 2097.3%
114 2009-2013 #06 10/21/11 11808.79 #07 06/01/12 12118.57 32 2.6% $38,684,881 $1,816,605 2029.5%
115 2009-2013 #08 06/29/12 12880.09 #09 11/16/12 12588.31 20 -2.3% $37,808,531 $1,887,020 1903.6%
116 2009-2013 #10 12/14/12 13135.01 TBD 12/27/13 16478.41 54 25.5% $47,432,356 $2,470,156 1820.2%

 

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