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Indicant Performance Metric

(Last Updated: Oct 12, 2005; Next Update Dec 31, 2014)

The performance of the various Indicant models are compared to conventional yard sticks:

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Yard Stick Investment Measurements

Indicant Performance in Green

Annual Percentage Rate*

Indicant Performance Comparison

Average Annual Inflation Rate (1926-1998)  3.08%, Click note 1
Interest Earned from Savings Account (1926-1998) 3.77%, Click note 1 After inflation, the "saver" made less than one-half percent a year.
Interest Earned from Bonds (1926-1998) 5.33%, Click note 1 A bond investor made a little over two percent after inflation.
Buy/Hold Stocks (1926-1998) 11.22%,Click note 1 The buyer and holder of stocks made a little over eight percent after inflation.
Buy/Hold through Bear Markets (1928-1998) 0.88% The buyer and holder loses money after inflation during bear markets, which can last up to twenty years plus.
Mid-term Indicant (1900-2004), DJIA Charts/tables. Beats buy and hold by over 2,000%.
Mid-tern Indicant (1971-2004), S&P500 Charts/tables Beats buy and hold by over 36%.
Mid-term Indicant (1984-2004), NASDAQ Charts/tables Beats buy and hold by over 142%.
Short/Quick Indicant (1999-2004) QQQQ Charts/Tables Beat buy and hold by over 150%.
Short/Quick Indicant (1999-2004) 30 ETF's Charts/Tables Beat buy and hold by over 15%
Buy and Hold Indicant Selected Stocks (1998-2004) Click note 3 Beat buy and hold by 97.9% in bear market of 2000-2004.
Long-term Indicant (DJIA, 1920-Dec. 2004) Click note 4 Beat buy and hold by 38.3% since 1928.
Short-term Indicant through Bear Markets (1928-2004) Click note 5 Beat buy and hold in bear markets by 151.4%
Mid-term Indicant Dow Jones Industrial Stocks (1980-2001) Click Indicant Performance Advantage Tour Beat buy and hold by 52.6%
Mid-term Indicant NASDAQ100 Stocks (1985-2004) Click Indicant Performance Advantage Tour Beat buy and hold by 162.1%
Mid-term Indicant 50 Mutual Funds (1987-2004) Click Indicant Performance Advantage Tour Beat buy and hold by 144.3%
Mid-term Indicant 50 Stocks (1985-2004) Click Indicant Performance Advantage Tour Beat buy and hold by 122.5%
Combined 296 Stocks and Mutual Funds (1995-2004) Click Indicant Performance Advantage Tour Beat buy and hold by 145.4%. Click here to see why.

* Compound annual percentage rates.

   Note 1) These figures were published in Investor's Business Daily on November 8, 1999.

 

    Note 2) From October 2002 through December 2004, the Indicant Selected Stocks are up 78%. The Indicant generated 260 buy signals for stocks and funds in October-November 2002, which was the first buying spree ahead of the great bull movement in 2003. (Click here to see how Mid-term Indicant generated 631.3% on a "flat stock" over a twenty-year period).

 

    Note 3) The publisher and editor of Indicant.Net was born in 1947 and is one of the oldest baby boomers hanging around. He knows what the younger ones are about to go through as they pass through their 40's and 50's. Thus the reason Indicant.Net will continuously keep Biotech and Health stocks in the Indicant.Net portfolio. Even if you prefer to buy and hold, you should enjoy double/triple digit gains the next ten years regardless of what the stock market is doing. The advantage of Indicant.Net is that you will be notified if a rising star in the Biotech/Health industry begins to fade. Simply buying and holding Indicant Selected Stocks from October-November 2002 through December 2004, you would be up 78% (compound annual growth rate of 88%). By trading on the Mid-term Indicant, you would be up 425% while many investors were down by from 20% to 75% as of this writing in late 2004.

 

    Note 4) Many of the popular market indices, such as the NASDAQ and S&P500 did not exist in the years from 1928 through 2004. Therefore, it is not possible to test the Long-term Indicant over a long period of time with the other indexes. The Mid-term Indicant, as well as the Short-term Indicant have improved quite substantially with the inclusion of these newer market indices. However, the Long-term Indicant, using just the Dow Jones Industrial Average, alone, still outperforms "buy and hold" by 38%. 

 

    Note 5) The Short-term Indicant has improved dramatically with the inclusion of the additional market indexes. Exchange Traded Funds were added on a Quick-term and Short-term basis in October 2005. Reliable historical data on the NASDAQ was not available until the 1980's. Since 1995, the Short-term Indicant generated 154.2% versus a buy and hold increase of 137.7%. The Short-term Indicant only tracks the NASDAQ and Dow. It is appealing for those who are interested in entering the market for the first time, retirees contemplating getting out of the market, and some options traders. The Short-term Indicant will signal "buy" whenever the variables indicate the slightest upward movement, regardless of bear or bull. Even in bear markets, the Indicant generates a return 195% greater than buy and hold during the duration of that bear.

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