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Apr 18, 2008 - VIX - It continues disrespecting recent cyclical configurations. This index crashed through a well established tangential line that formed nicely at or very near the prior cyclical minimums of bearish yellow. The current configurations support bullish behavior with one major development. The bearish yellow curve's recent contact with this tangential blue line has been met a VIX bullish response, which corresponds with stock market bearishness. As you can see, bearish yellow is nearing contact. If it crashes below the tangential blue line, expect bullish sustainability. If it does not, expect stock market bearishness.
Apr 18, 2008 - S&P600 - This index is holding well above bullish red, but the bearish yellow is nearing an inflection point which should allow for the construction of a tangential line. Such a construction will increase obviation on bullish sustainability issues.
Apr 17, 2008 - VIX - Continues moving bearishly with little respect for recent minimums. Although this is a bullish attribute, its bearish leg is mature. This is increasing probability of bearish stock market behavior with the VIX's impending bullish behavior.
Apr 17, 2008 - S&P600 - Index appears tiring from its recent bullish cycle, while maintaining bullish attributes. We are now awaiting an inflection of yellow, which will assist in describing potential sustainability of this bullish expression. However, do not be surprised at bearish behavior in the next few days.
Apr 16, 2008 - VIX - It fell below the base Y-tangential on today's bullish stock market. That is the first time in in over a year it has expressed that magnitude of bearishness. Although this would normally be bullish for the stock market, there are a couple of hurdles. It's Force Vector is rising, which supports VIX bullishness and stock market bearishness. Also, the Y-tangential line is based off yellow minimums. The yellow curve can maintain congruent expectations with a bullishly moving VIX and a bearish stock market.
Apr 16, 2008 - S&P600 - Force Vector continues moving bearishly while this index climbed above Red today. Do not be surprised at a bearish response before the end of the week.
Apr 15, 2008 - VIX - There is not much difference from yesterday. The VIX continues vacillating near a cyclical conclusion with the one to follow being bullish (bearish for the stock market).
Apr 15, 2008 - S&P600 - The small bullish expression with aggressively declining Force Vectors suggest bearish aggression in the next few days.
Apr 14, 2008 - VIX is attempting to restart a bullish cycle. The configuration appears to be ready to find incongruent relationships with past bottoms. There is still some room to maintain that congruency with a few more bearish expressions, which would be bullish for the stock market. However, the overall market will succumb to bearish requirements in the event VIX moves to the north. Keep in mind VIX is dependent on the market, but its patterns usually have more symmetry and quite often used for monitoring bias. Right now, it appears to be shaping up for a bearish bias for the stock market.
Apr 14, 2008 - S&P600 - The S&P600 is expected to contact yellow before red in this cycle. That adds to bearish potential. In other words bearish yellow may not act as a floor for bouncing the bear into a state of misery. If this index contacts bearish yellow with a bullish cycling VIX Index, expect bearish domination. The only hope here for bullish dominance is for bearish yellow's bottoms to shift from being progressively lower to becoming progressively higher. That would definitely be bullish.
 

 

Apr 12, 2008 - IVI - Indicant Volume Indicator - As you can see, the recent bullish cycle was not supported by a robust Indicant Volume Indicator.

Apr 12, 2008 - VIX - Recent bearish yellow curves have nestled at the underlying blue base trend line. The last cycle, though, nestled much higher at a newly formed green baseline. The bearish yellow curve is now positioned directly on the green line. if that becomes the bounce point, then the stock market is about to endure additional bearishness. More bullishness was desired and possible if the blue line would have been yellow's bounce point.
Apr 12, 2008 - S&P600 - As sated last Thursday, the S&P600, as well as other major indices, endured a technical configuration suggesting stock market cyclical peaking. That coupled with too many "yellow bears" in the Quick-term Indicant's ETF tracking elevated too much risk in holding several recent buy signals on a Quick-term basis.
Apr 12, 2008 - ETF's. The blow is an example of six ETF's tracked by the Quick-term Indicant. You will notice that five of the six are yellow bears. ETF#3 is contrarian energy and does not succumb to the same economic fundamentals as the other five. You will notice two buy signals in the recent past. Those buy signals are uncharacteristic since they occurred during yellow bear configurations. The Quick-term Indicant seldom signals buy with that characteristic. You will notice the Quick-term Indicant signaled sell for four of these ETF's last Friday. ETF#05-XLF did not receive a buy signal recently. Fundamentals did not support it, even though it had similar technical attributes. At any rate, risk of continued holding when the bearish yellow curve acted as a ceiling to bullish movement is too high. You should not continue holding these and the other ETF's that endured a sell signal this weekend.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

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